A December reading of U.S. homebuilders' sentiment remained at a record low for the third straight month.
The National Association of Home Builders said Monday its housing market index, which gauges builders' perceptions of conditions and expectations for home sales over the next six months, came in at 19 in December. The number was at the lowest level since the index began in January 1985.
Index readings higher than 50 indicate positive sentiment. The seasonally adjusted index has been below 50 since May 2006, and declined for eight straight months this year, and has been unchanged since October.
Tighter lending standards, rising defaults among borrowers with weak credit and a sense of worry about the housing market's future have meant fewer buyers for hard-hit homebuilders such as D.R. Horton (DHI, Fortune 500), Pulte Homes (PHM, Fortune 500) and Centex (CTX, Fortune 500).
Many builders are "bracing themselves for the winter months when home buying traditionally slows, scaling down their inventories and repositioning themselves for the time when market conditions can support an upswing in building activity," David Seiders, the trade group's chief economist said in a statement.
That's likely to occur, he said, by the second half of next year.
Confidence dropped in the northeast, but inched up in the Midwest and South. It remained unchanged in western states.
Nationwide, new-home sales are projected to fall to 788,000 this year, down 25 percent from 1.05 million last year, the National Association of Realtors said last week. Sales are expected to drop further to 693,000 in 2008, according to the Realtors' group.
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Monday, December 17, 2007
Excellent News For Less Than 1/10 of Troubled Homeowners
So-called FHA reform reached an important milestone on Friday when the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly approved its version of the legislation.
The bill, which passed by a vote of 93-1, seeks to make the Federal Housing Administration more relevant in the current housing and mortgage lending environment by expanding the agency, loosening some underwriting standards, and raising its current restrictive loan limit.
The FHA was established in 1934 to help borrowers, particularly those with low incomes, purchase homes by guaranteeing banks that those loans would be repaid should the borrower default. But the agency's loan limits have generally lagged behind those of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae and as home prices climbed dramatically and lenders with looser underwriting standards proliferated the agency became less and less of a player in the mortgage market.
Over a ten year period ending last December the FHA's share of new mortgages fell from 9.1 percent to 1.8 percent according to Inside Mortgage Finance. A major reason for the slide is the FHA loan cap which, in many parts of the country such as both coasts, falls short of covering the purchase price of even a low end house.
FHA insured loans have been mentioned as a possible escape hatch for borrowers who may be unable to make payments on their current adjustable rate mortgages when their interest rates reset over the next year. The restrictive loan limits, however, make that impossible for many of those borrowers. There is also a theory that a more widely available federal guarantee would encourage lenders to make more loans in the current tight credit environment.
The Senate version of FHA reform would raise the limit on FHA loans from $362,000 to at least $417,000 which is the current limit on Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Veterans Administration loans.
The FHA estimates that it may be able to help some 200,000 borrowers who are facing foreclosure with the new limits coupled with loosened underwriting standards which were announced by the president several months ago.
In October the House of Representatives passed legislation similar to that passed in the Senate but some differences between the two bills will have to be hammered out before a final version is sent to the president for his signature.
The House bill would raise the loan limit as high as $829,750 in certain areas of the country but the biggest stumbling block to a compromise is a feature of the House bill which establishes a new housing trust fund for troubled borrowers and would require FHA to contribute to it.
Also on Friday the Senate passed a separate borrower relief bill which would end, for three years, a provision in the tax code which has bitten many a homeowner after foreclosure or a loan workout. Under current rules the Internal Revenue Service requires lenders to send borrowers and the IRS a form detailing any loan amounts written off by the lender after a foreclosure, short sale, or loan restructure. The IRS treats that forgiven debt as ordinary income and taxes the borrower accordingly.
The House had earlier passed similar legislation but without the three year sunset provision.
In other mortgage news, Reuters reported on Friday that the hotline established by the HOPE NOW alliance had received 45,000 calls in the three days after its establishment was announced by President Bush. The hot-line provides foreclosure prevention counseling to borrowers who qualify for an interest rate freeze worked out between the Treasury Department and major lenders. The telephone number for the program is 1-888-995-HOPE.
The bill, which passed by a vote of 93-1, seeks to make the Federal Housing Administration more relevant in the current housing and mortgage lending environment by expanding the agency, loosening some underwriting standards, and raising its current restrictive loan limit.
The FHA was established in 1934 to help borrowers, particularly those with low incomes, purchase homes by guaranteeing banks that those loans would be repaid should the borrower default. But the agency's loan limits have generally lagged behind those of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae and as home prices climbed dramatically and lenders with looser underwriting standards proliferated the agency became less and less of a player in the mortgage market.
Over a ten year period ending last December the FHA's share of new mortgages fell from 9.1 percent to 1.8 percent according to Inside Mortgage Finance. A major reason for the slide is the FHA loan cap which, in many parts of the country such as both coasts, falls short of covering the purchase price of even a low end house.
FHA insured loans have been mentioned as a possible escape hatch for borrowers who may be unable to make payments on their current adjustable rate mortgages when their interest rates reset over the next year. The restrictive loan limits, however, make that impossible for many of those borrowers. There is also a theory that a more widely available federal guarantee would encourage lenders to make more loans in the current tight credit environment.
The Senate version of FHA reform would raise the limit on FHA loans from $362,000 to at least $417,000 which is the current limit on Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Veterans Administration loans.
The FHA estimates that it may be able to help some 200,000 borrowers who are facing foreclosure with the new limits coupled with loosened underwriting standards which were announced by the president several months ago.
In October the House of Representatives passed legislation similar to that passed in the Senate but some differences between the two bills will have to be hammered out before a final version is sent to the president for his signature.
The House bill would raise the loan limit as high as $829,750 in certain areas of the country but the biggest stumbling block to a compromise is a feature of the House bill which establishes a new housing trust fund for troubled borrowers and would require FHA to contribute to it.
Also on Friday the Senate passed a separate borrower relief bill which would end, for three years, a provision in the tax code which has bitten many a homeowner after foreclosure or a loan workout. Under current rules the Internal Revenue Service requires lenders to send borrowers and the IRS a form detailing any loan amounts written off by the lender after a foreclosure, short sale, or loan restructure. The IRS treats that forgiven debt as ordinary income and taxes the borrower accordingly.
The House had earlier passed similar legislation but without the three year sunset provision.
In other mortgage news, Reuters reported on Friday that the hotline established by the HOPE NOW alliance had received 45,000 calls in the three days after its establishment was announced by President Bush. The hot-line provides foreclosure prevention counseling to borrowers who qualify for an interest rate freeze worked out between the Treasury Department and major lenders. The telephone number for the program is 1-888-995-HOPE.
Friday, December 14, 2007
You Heard It Here First
Fannie Mae's CEO told shareholders Friday he does not expect a housing market recovery until late 2009, "at the earliest," and that the mortgage-finance company is strong enough to ride out the downturn.
Fannie Mae "will weather the turbulence of today's mortgage market and prosper when better conditions return," the president and CEO, Daniel Mudd, said as he and other top executives faced shareholders for the first time in three-and-a-half years at an annual meeting.
After posting a third-quarter loss of $1.4 billion, the largest U.S. buyer and guarantor of home mortgages recently cut its dividend and announced plans to sell $7 billion in preferred stock to raise capital to keep its cushion against risk within regulatory requirements.
One shareholder unconvinced by Mudd's assurances was investor activist Evelyn Y. Davis, who rose at the meeting and urged the government-sponsored company's directors to replace Mudd with Louis Freeh, the former FBI director elected to the Fannie board last spring.
Freeh is "the only one who would clean this up and really do this right," said Davis, whose mordant criticism of the company's leaders dominated much of the two-hour meeting.
Davis, who often peppers corporate CEOs with questions at shareholder meetings, said she would not vote for any of the directors standing for re-election other than Freeh. Freeh previously was general counsel and ethics officer of credit-card issuer MBNA Corp.
Despite Davis's protestations, the 12 Fannie directors — nine of whom came to the company after its accounting crisis in 2004 — were re-elected.
Mudd said Fannie Mae was "in a stronger position" because of the extensive changes to its management and operations over the past three years made in the wake of its $6.3 billion accounting scandal and with the recent steps taken to curb losses and buttress its finances.
He called them "extraordinary steps, but steps we believe are prudent."
The Fannie chief reaffirmed his gloomy forecast for the housing market, saying "This is the worst housing and mortgage market in recent memory, and we are still working our way to the bottom, in our view."
It was Washington-based Fannie Mae's first annual meeting since May 2004, five months before the accounting crisis erupted and led to the ouster of its highest executives, tarnished its reputation, and prompted federal regulators to fine it and impose restraints on its operations.
"We are rebuilding our culture," Chairman Stephen Ashley told the shareholders.
Fannie's stock price has been battered. On Friday, shares climbed $1 to $35.76, or about 50 percent below the high point of $70.57 over the past year.
__
On the Net:
Fannie Mae: http://www.fanniemae.com
Freddie Mac: http://www.freddiemac.com
Fannie Mae "will weather the turbulence of today's mortgage market and prosper when better conditions return," the president and CEO, Daniel Mudd, said as he and other top executives faced shareholders for the first time in three-and-a-half years at an annual meeting.
After posting a third-quarter loss of $1.4 billion, the largest U.S. buyer and guarantor of home mortgages recently cut its dividend and announced plans to sell $7 billion in preferred stock to raise capital to keep its cushion against risk within regulatory requirements.
One shareholder unconvinced by Mudd's assurances was investor activist Evelyn Y. Davis, who rose at the meeting and urged the government-sponsored company's directors to replace Mudd with Louis Freeh, the former FBI director elected to the Fannie board last spring.
Freeh is "the only one who would clean this up and really do this right," said Davis, whose mordant criticism of the company's leaders dominated much of the two-hour meeting.
Davis, who often peppers corporate CEOs with questions at shareholder meetings, said she would not vote for any of the directors standing for re-election other than Freeh. Freeh previously was general counsel and ethics officer of credit-card issuer MBNA Corp.
Despite Davis's protestations, the 12 Fannie directors — nine of whom came to the company after its accounting crisis in 2004 — were re-elected.
Mudd said Fannie Mae was "in a stronger position" because of the extensive changes to its management and operations over the past three years made in the wake of its $6.3 billion accounting scandal and with the recent steps taken to curb losses and buttress its finances.
He called them "extraordinary steps, but steps we believe are prudent."
The Fannie chief reaffirmed his gloomy forecast for the housing market, saying "This is the worst housing and mortgage market in recent memory, and we are still working our way to the bottom, in our view."
It was Washington-based Fannie Mae's first annual meeting since May 2004, five months before the accounting crisis erupted and led to the ouster of its highest executives, tarnished its reputation, and prompted federal regulators to fine it and impose restraints on its operations.
"We are rebuilding our culture," Chairman Stephen Ashley told the shareholders.
Fannie's stock price has been battered. On Friday, shares climbed $1 to $35.76, or about 50 percent below the high point of $70.57 over the past year.
__
On the Net:
Fannie Mae: http://www.fanniemae.com
Freddie Mac: http://www.freddiemac.com
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